A few decades ago the world was worried about over-population. The
idea was that population would continue to exponentially grow, like it did in
the "baby boom", and the world doesn't have enough resources to
accommodate that growth and people will starve. It became unacceptable to have
a lot of kids because that meant that someone else couldn't have kids because
there weren't enough resources to go around. That WAS the idea. The problem is that for most people that is STILL the
idea.
The truth is the opposite. Fertility rate is declining and is lower than it needs to be to
sustain a population in most wealthy countries. America's fertility rate is riding the line but it is expected to decline as well.
Why
should we care? Well for one
thing as the older "baby boom" generation retires it rests on the few
young adults to cover their retirement. It used to be that there were 13 working adults to each retiree.
Now, however, it could be three working people to one retiree and if fertility
rate continues to decrease we could have one working person, single handedly, paying
for another's retirement... That's A LOT OF TAXES! Now that I have your attention let’s look a little
closer. This is the white American population pyramid right now. You can see
that the baby boomers are in the peak of their lives and are SOON TO RETIRE.
You can also see that there aren’t as many working citizens to pay for their retirement.
prb.org
Another PROBLEM with this is that as the baby boomers get older they will be selling their houses
and there aren’t
enough younger people that have the money to buy those houses. This will
undoubtedly create a real estate CRISIS! Believe it or not… there’s more. As the baby boomers retire
there will be less human capital, which roughly defined is the skills of a
population. There will be less capable people to take over the baby boomers
jobs. This means LESS PRODUCTIVITY and LESS ADVANCES. Basically it will be
extremely difficult to maintain the standard of living that most of us are used
to having now.
WHY IS THIS HAPPENING?
The truth? We, as Americans, are becoming more
individualized, more self-centered. This is just a statement not an insult. More
and more people are putting off marriage until they finish their degree or are
well into a career. The average marrying age of 2007 is 26 for females and 28 for males, and that was 5 years ago! So what? Well
people that get married later tend to have less time to have kids. Another thing is that people don’t want to have kids anymore. As women
are more accepted in the workplace some decide that they would rather have a career than be a mother. All
of these things and more are contributing to the fertility decline. And the
fertility decline is
CHANGING LIFE AS WE KNOW IT.
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